The first two weeks of September are expected to be quiet for Atlantic hurricane activity, according to experts at Colorado State University.
The CSU Tropical Meteorology Project, which has been forecasting the Atlantic hurricane season for more than 40 years, said recently in an update that above-average activity for 2024 but environmental conditions currently look unfavorable for hurricane activity the next two weeks.
No adjustment to the seasonal forecast was made by the team in its Sept. 3 update. CSU continues to calls for 23 named storms, 12 hurricanes and six major hurricanes of Category 3 or greater. Thus far there has been five named storms, three hurricanes (Beryl, Debby, and Ernesto) and one major hurricane (Beryl).
CSU acknowledged the National Hurricane Center’s monitoring of three areas within the Atlantic but said none are likely to develop into hurricanes. In fact, the Atlantic has entered a “quiet period” and produced no hurricanes since Ernesto on Aug. 12. Only one other time (1968) in the satellite era has the Atlantic not produced any named storms between August 13 and Sept.3, CSU said.
“This pronounced quite period is especially remarkable given that it coincides with the time of year where the Atlantic climatologically gets very busy,” CSU added.
AccuWeather recently forecasted six to 10 named storms to form in the Atlantic from Aug. 27 to Sept. 30.
Photo: This image provided by NASA shows Hurricane Beryl from the International Space Station on Sunday, July 1, 2024. (NASA via AP)
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