catastrophe modeling News

Hurricanes Moving Farther North to Pummel Millions More Homes in US

Is it possible to predict exactly where the wind will blow? How about where it will blow 30 years from now? The First Street Foundation, a nonprofit that works to define and communicate risks posed by climate change, says it …

Study Shows How Machine Learning Could Predict Rare Disastrous Events

When it comes to predicting disasters brought on by extreme events (think earthquakes, pandemics or “rogue waves” that could destroy coastal structures), computational modeling faces an almost insurmountable challenge: Statistically speaking, these events are so rare that there’s just not …

Aon Buys Mexico’s ERN, Expanding Its LatAm Catastrophe Modeling Capabilities

Aon plc, the global professional services firm, expands its catastrophe modeling and consultancy capabilities in Latin America with the acquisition of ERN (Evaluación de Riesgos Naturales), a Mexico-based leader in risk assessment modeling. Financial details of the deal were not …

RMS Range of Insured Losses From Ian $53-$74B, ‘Best Estimate’ of $67B

Catastrophe modeler RMS chimed in on Hurricane Ian with an estimate of private-market insured losses from the storm of $67 billion. The Moody’s Analytics company said the amount was a “best estimate,” and also supplied a range of between $53 …

Insured Damages From Hurricane Ian $31-$53B: CoreLogic

Property data and analytics provider CoreLogic included new and updated projections of storm surge and flood losses for Hurricane Ian for a final tally of between $41 billion and $70 billion in insured and uninsured flood and wind losses. Insured …

2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Halftime Report: The Quiet Before the Storm?

With a few weeks to go until the North Atlantic Basin enters its most active period, now is a good time to recap recent activity, review updated seasonal forecasts, and look ahead to what may be in store for the …

Markets/Coverages: Aon Incorporates Climate Science Into European Flood Models

Insurance broker Aon has incorporate the latest climate science into its Impact Forecasting’s European flood models to help enable insurers to access more accurate loss estimates to help make better decisions for underwriting, reinsurance and regulatory requirements. The models are …

What Factors Could Drive Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Risk This Season?

This content was recently published in the Blogs section of RMS’ website. It is republished here with permission. With June 1 heralding the official start of the 2022 North Atlantic hurricane season, Tropical Storm Alex already on the scoreboard, and …

‘The Phones Started Ringing Right Away’: Cat Modeling Pioneer Karen Clark Recalls Hurricane Andrew

At the start of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, Insurance Journal spoke with Karen Clark, founder of two catastrophe modeling firms and now CEO of Karen Clark & Company (KCC). August 24, 2022 is the 30th anniversary of Hurricane Andrew …

Secondary Perils Responsible for Growing Share of Disaster Claims: RMS

Not only did natural catastrophes in 2021 break insurance claims records, but they also highlighted the growing cost of non-modeled characteristics of disasters, which are altering the industry’s understanding of these risks, according to a report published by RMS. “Secondary …