Climate Prediction Center News

Active Atlantic Hurricane Season Looms – as Odds Drop of El Niño Formation

Forecasters again lowered the odds of El Niño forming by year’s end, a scenario that may mean more Atlantic hurricanes at a time when federal agencies charged with predicting and responding to natural disasters lack top administrators. The updated forecast, …

Climate Records Keep Shattering with Hottest April in 12th Record-Setting Month

The number of climate records broken in the last few years is stunning. But here’s a new measure of misery: Not only did we just experience the hottest April in 137 years of record keeping, but it was the 12th …

La Nina Likely Waiting in Wings to Follow El Nino: U.S. Climate Center

A U.S. government weather forecaster on Thursday said the El Nino weather phenomenon under way was likely to dissipate by the Northern Hemisphere’s late spring or early summer and possibly transition to La Nina conditions later this year. The National …

El Niño Helps Create Another Record Year for High Temperatures

El Niño is the Earth’s hot, exhaling breath. At least, that’s one way of thinking about it. The blast of heat from deep within the Pacific Ocean will do more in 2015 than just disrupt weather worldwide. It will push …

Farmers’ Almanac Predicts Harsh Winter for Northeast in 2016

It’s not what Bostonians want to hear: The Farmer’s Almanac says another rough winter is in your stars. A year after Boston was pummeled with the snowiest winter on record, editors of the Maine-based publication have dubbed their latest forecast …

Below-Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season Now Even More Likely: NOAA

The U.S. Climate Prediction Center’s updated 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook calls for a 90 percent chance of a below-normal hurricane season. A below-normal season is now even more likely than predicted in May, when the likelihood of a below-normal …

Chance of El Nino Now Up to 70%, Says U.S. Climate Center

A U.S. government weather forecaster on Thursday raised its forecast for the chance of El Nino conditions during the Northern Hemisphere summer to 70 percent, up from a 60 percent chance last month, with a 60 percent chance it lasts …

El Nino Forecasts Flop as Puzzled Scientists Search for Answers

When it comes to El Nino, 2014-15 may be the years that launched a thousand academic papers. Since last March, forecasters have said an El Nino was on the way. The only trouble is, it hasn’t arrived. Call it the …

Chance of El Nino Rises to 65% for Winter, Spring

The U.S. weather forecaster on Thursday projected a 65 percent chance of El Nino conditions during the Northern Hemisphere winter and into spring, up from a 58 percent chance predicted early in November. The Climate Prediction Center, an agency of …

No El Nino Yet But Chances Remain High: U.S. Climate Center

A weather-changing El Nino has yet to develop in the Pacific Ocean, according to government forecasters are who maintaining a “watch” initiated in March. The chances that the warming of the equatorial Pacific will form in the next two months …