U.S. Climate Prediction Center News

El Nino Forecasts Flop as Puzzled Scientists Search for Answers

When it comes to El Nino, 2014-15 may be the years that launched a thousand academic papers. Since last March, forecasters have said an El Nino was on the way. The only trouble is, it hasn’t arrived. Call it the …

Australia Raises El Nino Warning for Tropical Pacific

Australia raised an El Nino warning after the Pacific Ocean showed renewed signs of the pattern that can bring drought to parts of Asia and heavier-than-usual rain to South America. Climate models suggest current conditions will persist or strengthen, prompting …

Weak El Nino May Form in Warmer-Than-Normal Pacific

A weak El Nino will probably develop by the year-end, according to MDA Weather Services. While sea-surface temperatures are warmer than normal across most areas in the tropical Pacific ocean, it still doesn’t qualify as an El Nino, Kyle Tapley, …

Weak El Nino Could Still Happen Later This Year

A weak El Nino might still form in the next 30 to 60 days across the equatorial Pacific, the U.S. Climate Prediction Center said. Sea surface temperatures in the region have been above- average through September. Changes to the atmosphere, …

Atlantic Hurricanes Still Threaten to Brew

As weather-watchers focus on Typhoon Vongfong in the Pacific and Cyclone Hudhud in the Bay of Bengal, there are signs that the Atlantic may have a storm of its own, or more, in the next few weeks. A patch of …

Chance of Below-Normal Hurricane Season Now Up to 70%

Forecasters with the National Weather Service raised the likelihood for a below-normal season in their most recent Atlantic hurricane season outlook. The update predicts a 70 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 25 percent chance of a near-normal season …

Strong El Nino Seen Unlikely by Australia as Pacific Cools

The odds of a strong El Nino, which brings drought to the Asia-Pacific region and heavy rains to South America, are increasingly unlikely after the tropical Pacific Ocean cooled, according to Australia’s weather bureau. A general lack of atmospheric response …

Australia Issues Further El Nino Alert as Event Seen Developing

Australia issued an El Nino alert on expectations the weather-altering pattern will probably develop as early as July, potentially bringing drought across the Asia- Pacific region and heavier-than-usual rains to South America. The tropical Pacific Ocean has warmed steadily in …

Odds of El Nino This Year Increasing, Says U.S. Climate Center

The odds are increasing that an El Nino weather system will form this year, portending drought for Australia and Asia and a warmer winter in the U.S. Northeast. The U.S. Climate Prediction Center now says there’s a 65 percent chance …

El Nino Seen Starting by July as UN Highlights Risk to Rice

An El Nino will probably start as soon as July, according to the Australian government forecaster, adding to predictions for the event that can affect weather patterns worldwide and roil farm-commodity prices. All the climate models surveyed indicated that an …